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title: "Crash &amp; Safety Trends Analysis — July 1, 2026 | AlphaLoops Data Hub"
description: "Commercial vehicle crashes fell 10.7% year-over-year in the trailing 12 months, dropping from 185,154 to 165,252 reported crashes."
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-   [Data Hub](/data) -   [Crash & Safety Trends](/data/safety) -   [Archive](/data/safety/archive) -   July 1, 2026 

# Crash & Safety Trends Analysis

Snapshot from July 1, 2026. This analysis reflects FMCSA data available on that date and is preserved for citation.

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This data is free to access. If you use it for research or media, we kindly ask that you cite AlphaLoops and link back to [runalphaloops.com/data](https://runalphaloops.com/data).

[All snapshots](/data/safety/archive)

## Analysis

· as of July 1, 2026 

### Highlights

-   Commercial vehicle crashes fell 10.7% year-over-year in the trailing 12 months, dropping from 185,154 to 165,252 reported crashes. 
-   June and July 2025 recorded the two highest monthly crash totals in the dataset, at 20,061 and 19,688 respectively. 
-   Fatalities in the trailing 12 months reached 4,926, down from a peak month of 665 fatalities recorded in both March 2022 and October 2023. 
-   Hazmat-involved crashes in the trailing 12 months totaled 2,664, averaging roughly 222 per month across that period. 
-   January and February 2026 show sharply reduced totals — 8,374 and 575 crashes respectively — consistent with incomplete reporting in the most recent months. 

The most notable feature of this dataset is not the year-over-year decline in crashes but the pronounced spike in June and July 2025, followed by an abrupt drop that almost certainly reflects reporting lag rather than a genuine safety improvement. June 2025 logged 20,061 total crashes — the highest single month in the entire 60-month series — and July 2025 followed at 19,688, both running roughly 30% above the dataset's pre-2025 monthly average of approximately 15,500. By contrast, the two most recent months on record, January 2026 at 8,374 crashes and February 2026 at just 575, are implausibly low relative to every prior January and February in the series; January 2025 recorded 16,422 crashes and January 2024 recorded 17,393, making the 2026 figures almost certainly artifacts of incomplete data submission to FMCSA rather than a real-world trend. Analysts and researchers should treat any months within roughly two to three months of the data pull date with caution for this reason.

Setting aside the truncated tail, the year-over-year comparison across complete 12-month windows is more credible. Crashes in the trailing 12 months totaled 165,252, down from 185,154 in the prior 12-month period, a decline of 10.7%. Fatalities over the trailing 12 months reached 4,926, and injuries totaled 89,787. The composition of crashes across the full dataset shows that tow-away incidents track closely with total crash volume — tow-away counts in the trailing 12 months reached 153,289, representing roughly 92.8% of total crashes, a ratio that has remained largely stable across the series. Fatal crashes as a share of total crashes have been more variable month to month, ranging from roughly 2.9% in some summer months to above 3.4% in periods like March 2022, when 530 fatal crashes occurred out of 16,674 total.

The 2022 period represents the elevated plateau in this series, with monthly crash totals consistently in the 15,000 to 18,000 range across most of that year. The subsequent gradual moderation from 2023 onward is consistent with broader freight market softening following the post-pandemic volume surge, though the data alone cannot establish causation. Across the full five-year window, total crashes reached 842,685 and fatalities reached 27,595, providing a longer baseline against which any single-year movement should be evaluated.

### Key Statistics

842,685

Total reported commercial vehicle crashes

5-year period (Jul 2021 – Feb 2026)

27,595

Total reported fatalities in commercial vehicle crashes

5-year period (Jul 2021 – Feb 2026)

165,252

Total reported commercial vehicle crashes

Trailing 12 months

\-10.7%

Year-over-year change in total crashes (trailing 12 months vs. prior 12 months)

Trailing 12 months vs. prior 12 months

4,926

Total fatalities in commercial vehicle crashes

Trailing 12 months

89,787

Total injuries in commercial vehicle crashes

Trailing 12 months

20,061

Total crashes in highest single month on record (June 2025)

June 2025

153,289

Tow-away incidents in commercial vehicle crashes

Trailing 12 months

2,664

Hazmat-involved commercial vehicle crashes

Trailing 12 months

665

Fatalities in a single month, tied peak (March 2022 and October 2023)

March 2022 / October 2023

530

Fatal crashes in a single month (highest in dataset)

March 2022

434,839

Total injuries in commercial vehicle crashes

5-year period (Jul 2021 – Feb 2026)

Cite this data

AlphaLoops. (2026). Crash & Safety Trends — FMCSA Data Hub. Retrieved 2026-07-01 from https://runalphaloops.com/data/safety.

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